Movies

This year, Star Wars lost its lustre, while Timothée’s only got brighter

Like the dinosaurs in Jurassic Park, objects in the mirror are closer than they appear. Time to look back at some predictions made a year ago, and see how they turned out.

Prediction: The pictures will get small

Outcome: True: Netflix scored four Oscar nominations for Mudbound, though it didn’t win. But this year its film Roma has a good shot at Best Foreign-Language film (it’s already on the nine-film nomination shortlist) and maybe even Best Picture.

Prediction: The shine will come off Star Wars

Outcome: True. Although Solo: A Star Wars Story earned $213 million and a ninth place at the box office, that’s a pittance compared to The Force Awakens ($936 million), The Last Jedi ($620 million) and Rogue One ($532 million). Disney is already slowing down a little, pushing the release of Star Wars IX from May to December.

Prediction: There is no box-office season

Outcome: True. Of the top 10 films as of this writing, six came out during the traditional blockbuster season of May/June/July. But the four that didn’t included the top spots, which went to Black Panther (February) and Avengers: Infinity War (April).

Prediction: Animation will get less original

Outcome: True. 2018 was a year of sequels and remakes, including Incredibles 2, Wreck-It Ralph 2, Hotel Transylvania 3, Sherlock Gnomes and How the Grinch Stole Christmas. On the other hand, there was Wes Anderson’s Isle of Dogs, and the amazing Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse. So the original stuff was very original indeed.

Prediction: Timothée Chalamet will be big

Outcome: True-ish. Though he only appeared in one movie this year, the so-so Beautiful Boy, he’s already attached to six future features, including Denis Villeneuve’s remake of Dune, Greta Gerwig’s Little Women, a sequel to Call Me By Your Name, and something called The King, in which he plays Henry V.

Prediction: Eighties nostalgia isn’t going anywhere

Outcome: True-ish. While flawed, the ’80s-themed Ready Player One made a splash in March, while the year is closed out by Bumblebee, set in 1987 and likely to be the best-reviewed of the Transformers movies. In between, however, The Predator remake fizzled with both audiences and critics.

Prediction: We’ll see more films from female directors

Outcome: True-ish. Women continue to push forward, but Hollywood doesn’t change quickly. Still, 2018 saw some fine films by women, including The Rider (Chloe Zhao), Leave No Trace (Debra Granik) and Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Marielle Heller). That said, when it comes to box-office numbers you have to drill down 27 places to find a woman’s name with Ava DuVernay’s A Wrinkle in Time.

Prediction: The box-office top 10 might all be superhero movies

Outcome: False. As of this writing, just six of 2018’s top 10 are superhero movies, led by Black Panther, Avengers: Infinity War and Incredibles 2. Also in the mix: Deadpool 2, Ant-Man and the Wasp and Venom. But Aquaman could yet muscle in there.

Prediction: Movies will ditch the clichés

Outcome: Not even close.

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